What is PVGO (present value of growth opportunities)?
PVGO measures how much of a stock's price comes from expected future growth rather than current earnings capitalized at a no-growth rate. High-growth companies often trade with a large PVGO component, while mature firms may derive most of their value from existing earnings power.
Compare PVGO with the dividend discount model calculator for dividend-based intrinsic value, or check how much investors pay per dollar of earnings with the price-to-earnings calculator.
Direct PVGO decomposition
Split market price into a no-growth base and the growth premium:
Fundamental mode with retention and ROE
Sustainable growth links retention to ROE. The Gordon-style earnings model gives a fundamental price before PVGO is extracted:
Worked example: $50 price, $4 EPS, 10% required return
In direct mode, capitalize EPS at the required return and subtract from market price:
PVGO is $10, or 20% of the $50 stock price. The donut chart shows how much value investors assign to growth opportunities versus current earnings power.
Frequently asked questions
Can PVGO be negative?
What required return should I use?
How is fundamental mode different from direct mode?
Does PVGO equal future project NPV?
Resources and references
The formulas and methods in this calculator were checked against these independent sources.